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USD to EUR Forecasts – US dollar to euro

Latest USD to EUR forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/EUR. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to EUR Forecast & Outlook

27 Jun 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/EUR 0.8778

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 0.8650 – 0.8800
  • Dominant driver: 🛡️ Safe-haven flows
  • 3-month trend: 🔴 Downtrend

Currently, USD/EUR is trading near recent highs above its 90-day average, supported by safe-haven flows and rising uncertainty. Over the next few sessions, conditions may remain supported by risk-off sentiment, but the pair’s proximity to recent highs suggests a potential short-term correction or consolidation.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the Eurozone may find exchange rates less favourable than recent levels if the pair declines.
  • Travellers: buying Euro cash could experience slightly better rates if the pair moves lower.
  • Businesses: paying overseas Euro invoices with USD may face less advantage if the pair weakens further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The USD yield advantage over the Euro remains significant, supporting USD strength.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated risk aversion and safe-haven flows are bolstering USD prospects.
  • Global factors: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and global uncertainties sustain the demand for safe assets.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A sharp improvement in risk sentiment could weaken USD and support a bounce.
  • Downside risk: Unexpected global economic or geopolitical surprises might accelerate USD weakness.

Shopping around for the lowest margin provider may help reduce overall transfer costs.

 

USDEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

By the end of the year, major bank forecasts suggest a generally weakening US dollar against the euro, with J.P. Morgan Global Research expecting the EUR/USD to reach 1.20. This view is shaped by anticipated U.S. economic growth moderation and supportive fiscal policies in Germany. Despite mixed geopolitical and economic signals, such as ongoing inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions, the overall outlook leans towards a softer dollar and a stronger euro.

Big bank views

  • J.P. Morgan Global Research forecasts EUR/USD at 1.20 by December 2026.
  • No other institutions explicitly provided end-of-year forecasts in the supplied context.
  • J.P. Morgan Asset Management also anticipates medium-term USD weakening, although without explicit targets.

What could change the outlook

  • Unexpected shifts in U.S. Federal Reserve policy or economic data that strengthen the dollar.
  • Major geopolitical events disrupting current energy market dynamics or eurozone economic conditions.
 

USD-EUR Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to EUR Market Data

US dollar (USD) to euro (EUR) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy EUR
1 USD =
0.8780We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
EUR
1d−0.2%▼
90dHighs◓
USD to EUR at 0.8778 is 2.0% above its 3-month average of 0.8604, having traded in a very stable 3.9% range from 0.8475 to 0.8804
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  1 EUR = 1.1389 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to euro

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to euro (EUR) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to EUR calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Euro currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Euro?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs euro current value is to look the USD/EUR historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to EUR exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/EURChangePeriod
12 Jun 2026
0.8640
1.8% ▲2 Week
28 Mar 2026
0.8663
1.6% ▲3 Month
26 Jun 2025
0.8552
2.9% ▲1 Year
27 Jun 2021
0.8373
5.1% ▲5 Year
28 Jun 2016
0.9030
2.6% ▼10 Year
01 Jul 2006
0.7843
12.2% ▲20 Year
USD/EUR historic rates & change to 26-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/EUR to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more