Analysis of recent dollar → kiwi forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to New Zealand dollar performance and trends.
Forecasts for USD to NZD
Recent forecasts for the USD to NZD exchange rate reflect a complex interplay of factors influencing both currencies. Analysts suggest that the US dollar (USD) has strengthened recently due to positive sentiment surrounding potential US-China trade negotiations. This occurred after indications from China that it is open to trade talks, which has bolstered investor confidence in the USD. However, the market is now looking towards upcoming non-farm payroll data, with economists warning that a significant slowdown in job creation could dampen the dollar's gains.
On the other hand, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) has exhibited volatility, trading in correlation with the Australian dollar (AUD). Despite some initial gains, NZD has faced downward pressure, particularly in light of new tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump that also target New Zealand. Experts caution that these tariffs could hurt demand for New Zealand's key exports, significantly impacting the NZD's stability.
Current market data shows the USD to NZD exchange rate at 1.6801, which is notably 3.3% lower than its three-month average of 1.7381. The currency pair has traded within an 8.4% range recently, reflecting a period of volatility influenced by geopolitical and economic factors. As the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remains a crucial determinant of the dollar's value, any hints of a dovish stance in response to economic data could weaken the USD further.
In conclusion, while the USD's immediate outlook appears strengthened by trade optimism, potential tariff impacts and economic data will play essential roles in determining future exchange rates. Analysts recommend keeping an eye on developments in US-China trade relations and forthcoming job market statistics, as these will likely influence the USD's trajectory against the NZD in the coming weeks.
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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more