CAD/MYR Outlook:
Slightly weaker, but likely to move sideways, as the rate is below its recent average and lacking a clear supporting driver.
Key drivers:
• Rate gap: The Bank of Canada maintains a cautious stance while keeping interest rates steady, contrasting with the U.S. Federal Reserve's recent cuts, which benefits the MYR.
• Risk/commodities: Oil prices are trending higher, significantly above their recent average, providing support for the CAD, as it is closely linked to oil exports.
• One macro factor: Malaysia's strong GDP growth of 5.2% in the third quarter indicates a robust economic outlook, supporting the MYR’s strength.
Range:
The CAD/MYR is likely to drift within its recent range, reflecting the current downward pressure.
What could change it:
• Upside risk: A notable increase in oil prices could strengthen the CAD and improve its standing against the MYR.
• Downside risk: Continued strength in the Malaysian economy or unfavorable news regarding Canadian trade relations could weigh on the CAD.