Analysis of recent kiwi → sterling forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest New Zealand dollar to British pound performance and trends.
Forecasts for NZD to GBP
Recent insights into the NZD to GBP exchange rate indicate a nuanced trading landscape influenced by both risk sentiment and domestic economic performance in New Zealand and the UK. Analysts note that the New Zealand dollar (NZD) has faced downward pressure due to heightened risk aversion, although it has shown some resilience by recovering losses after initial declines. Moving forward, the NZD may respond to key economic indicators, particularly today’s manufacturing PMI, as well as shifts in global risk appetite which are critical for this commodity-linked currency.
In contrast, the British pound (GBP) has been impacted by disappointing GDP figures, with a reported contraction of 0.3% in April that exceeded forecasts. The negative data initially weakened the GBP, although it did manage to recover against currencies underperforming more significantly. In the absence of substantial UK economic data today, analysts suggest that the GBP may trade in a relatively directionless manner, influenced more by external factors than by domestic economic indicators.
Market experts highlight the interconnected nature of the NZD and GBP, particularly in response to global economic trends. The NZD is often correlated with the AUD, reflecting its reliance on commodity markets, while the GBP is primarily driven by economic indicators within the UK. The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the potential for renewed tariff conflicts under a future U.S. administration, are also significant as they could dampen demand for New Zealand's key exports, subsequently affecting the NZD.
Currently, the NZD to GBP exchange rate stands at approximately 0.4437, which is in line with its three-month average and has traded within a stable range of 3.9% between 0.4335 and 0.4503. Forecasters indicate that this stability signals a cautious market as both currencies react to external pressures. Looking ahead, movements in the NZD to GBP exchange rate will hinge on forthcoming economic data, geopolitical developments, and shifts in trader sentiment, all of which could enhance or constrain exchange rate potential in the near term.
Compare & Save - New Zealand dollar to British pound
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Will the New Zealand dollar rise against the British pound?
This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the New Zealand dollar vs British pound current value is to look the NZD/GBP historic rate and change over a range of periods.
The following table looks at the change in the NZD to GBP exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.
Date
NZD/GBP
Change
Period
03 Jun 2025
0.4439
0.7% ▲
2 Week
19 Mar 2025
0.4473
0.1% ▼
3 Month
17 Jun 2024
0.4825
7.4% ▼
1 Year
18 Jun 2020
0.5173
13.6% ▼
5 Year
20 Jun 2015
0.4352
2.7% ▲
10 Year
22 Jun 2005
0.3929
13.7% ▲
20 Year
NZD/GBP historic rates & change to 17-Jun-2025
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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more