NZD/MYR Outlook:
The NZD/MYR is currently trading below its 90-day average and near recent lows, suggesting a bearish outlook. Recent data has added pressure on the New Zealand dollar while the Malaysian ringgit has shown resilience.
Key drivers:
• Rate gap: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand maintains a higher interest rate compared to Bank Negara Malaysia, but investor confidence in Malaysia is growing.
• Risk/commodities: With oil prices at 90-day highs, the MYR benefits as higher oil prices typically boost Malaysia's economic outlook, given its export reliance.
• One macro factor: New Zealand's trade deficit could weigh on the NZD, highlighting economic challenges facing the country.
Range:
The NZD/MYR is likely to drift within its recent stable range as market conditions remain mixed.
What could change it:
• Upside risk: A positive surprise in New Zealand's upcoming economic data could boost the NZD.
• Downside risk: Further deterioration in New Zealand’s trade figures might increase downward pressure on the NZD.