CAD/JPY Outlook:
Slightly positive, but likely to move sideways as the rate is above its recent average and lacks a clear driver.
Key drivers:
- Rate gap: The Bank of Canada is maintaining a cautious stance with rates compared to the recent rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which aims to combat higher inflation.
- Risk/commodities: Recent oil price increases, now significantly above average, provide support to the Canadian dollar as it is a key oil exporter.
- One macro factor: Japan's implementation of quantitative tightening introduces a tighter monetary environment, potentially impacting the yen's value.
Range:
CAD/JPY is likely to drift within the recent 3-month range as the pair trades near its mean.
What could change it:
- Upside risk: A sustained rally in oil prices could push CAD/JPY higher as Canada benefits economically.