The exchange rate between the UAE Dirham (AED) and the Qatari Rial (QAR) is currently positioned at 14-day lows near 0.9913, reflecting a stable trading range over the past three months. Analysts note that this rate is consistent with its three-month average and has fluctuated within a relatively tight band of 1.7%, ranging from 0.9897 to 1.0066. Given that the currencies of most Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, excluding Kuwait, are pegged to the US dollar, the 3.6725 rate has remained stable since 1997, providing a predictable backdrop for AED movements against the QAR.
Market experts indicate that the QAR can be significantly influenced by fluctuations in oil prices, which are a critical driver of the Qatari economy. Recent data shows oil prices have reached 90-day lows near 61.29, a notable 13.2% below the three-month average of 70.61. The volatility in oil prices has been substantial, with swings ranging from 61.29 to 76.99, amounting to a 25.6% variation. This decline in oil prices could put downward pressure on the QAR, possibly influencing its exchange rate with the AED in the near term.
Overall, currency forecasters suggest that while the AED/QAR exchange rate remains stable, any potential shifts in oil market dynamics will likely play a vital role in determining future trends. Investors and businesses engaged in international transactions should consider these factors, as ongoing oil volatility may introduce risks or opportunities for cost-effective currency conversions.